Climate-Fragility Risk Brief: Jordan, Palestine and Israel

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The nations of the Levant have volatile relationships with one another and have periodically engaged in conflict over the past 100 years. While attention is often focused on traditional national security issues, climate change will make Israel, Jordan and Palestine less secure. Rising temperatures, decreasing rainfall, and a rise in extreme weather events can all increase tensions by decreasing living standards in countries whose governments have a low adaptive capacity. This contributes to dissatisfaction with authorities, potentially spurring future conflicts.

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