The climate in Somalia is projected to become drier, warmer, more erratic, and more extreme than in recent decades and thus less favourable to crop, livestock, fisheries, and forestry-based livelihood systems. Other likely impacts include reduction of vegetation for grazing and more variable water availability, with grave impacts on livestock herding and livelihoods. Rising sea temperatures and acidification will reduce fish stocks and change their distribution. In a context of slow-onset natural hazard and environmental degradation, households and entire communities may have no other choice but to leave their place of origin in search of a more inhabitable area.

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This report was authored by Hervé Nicolle at Samuel Hall, with research contribution and field coordination by Eugénie Tenezakis, Fatuma Ahmed and Jared Owuor and editorial support from Dr.Nassim Majidi, Camille Kasavan and Sophie Poston.

This report was originally published on environmentalmigration.iom.int.