This report discusses the possible effects of climate change on issues at the core of European foreign, security, and development policy – livelihoods, food security, migration, and political stability in regions with close ties to Europe. Climate change will become increasingly challenging in the coming years, yet its effects are ultimately determined by social, economic, and political factors. Studying what makes societies susceptible to be adversely affected by climate change and how such conditions evolve over time then gives an indication of where to direct adaptation efforts. The moderating conditions presented in this report offer as many “levers” for preparing against the adverse effects of climate change.